Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events
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2020 presidential candidate Tom Steyer. (Miguel Martinez/The Philadelphia Inquirer)
ONCE UPON A FAIRY TALE …: When Tom Steyer launched an eight-figure television ad campaign to impeach President Trump in 2017, Democratic leaders urged the California businessman and megadonor to tone it down and spend his money elsewhere.
Now, almost exactly two years later, what was once derided as Steyer’s liberal fantasy is coming true: House Democrats will cast their first vote today on an impeachment inquiry into President Trump.
And to Steyer, now a 2020 presidential candidate struggling to register in the polls as a relative latecomer to a crowded field, today's vote is an affirmation of his political instincts -- and his long-shot presidential bid based on the idea that the current White House occupant and his administration is corrupt.
While Steyer said in an interview with Power Up he'd never gloat to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi — one of the Need to Impeach campaign's most prominent critics — he is having an "I told you so" moment.
A campaign boost?: Steyer acknowledged that the issue of impeachment is not exactly a priority for voters he’s meeting on the campaign trail day in and day out. But during a brief stop at home yesterday to get “some clean underwear and socks” before heading to Iowa, Steyer told us that the impeachment milestone validates his credentials as an outsider willing to eschew Washington's consultant class and take on party leadership.
Steyer dismissed concerns that his money might be better spent on other Democratic priorities — such as congressional races or boosting youth voter registration — going into 2020 than on his personal presidential campaign. “Look, equivalent to what we would have spent and what we have spent in the past in those areas,” Steyer said about his continued investment in Need to Impeach and NextGen America.
All about the hearings: Steyer also denied that his campaign money would be better spent on ads to help Democrats refute ads that the GOP is pushing to discredit candidates and the impeachment inquiry, many of which contain baseless claims. The next best step to influence public opinion, Steyer said, is “televised hearings — not intermediated but direct information.”
ABOUT TODAY'S VOTE: Lawmakers will be forced to go “on record in support or opposition of the investigation and dictating the rules for its next phase,” our colleagues John Hudson, Karoun Demirjian and Mike DeBonis reported. As Republicans and the White House continue to insist the impeachment inquiry is illegitimate and rail against process, Pelosi is holding the vote to “affirm” the probe now in its sixth week and “grant due process to the president and his attorney, countering a repeated criticism by Trump that he has been treated unfairly,” per John, Karoun and Mike.
“We are taking this step to eliminate any doubt as to whether the Trump administration may withhold documents, prevent witness testimony, disregard duly authorized subpoenas, or continue obstructing the House of Representatives,” Pelosi said in a letter to Democrats. “Nobody is above the law.” (The White House said earlier this month that the lack of a formal House vote was grounds not to cooperate in the inquiry, although neither the Constitution nor House rules require such a vote, my colleagues note.)
Moderates have come around: When Pelosi first polled her caucus about holding a formal floor vote on the inquiry earlier in October, her moderate colleagues resisted the idea. By yesterday morning, those same members told Pelosi in a closed-door meeting that a formal floor vote was okay by them: “The striking turnabout reflects Democrats’ growing confidence that the public is behind their fact-finding mission into Mr. Trump’s dealing with Ukraine. It comes after weeks of bombshell revelations confirmed an anonymous whistleblower’s assertion that Mr. Trump withheld military aid from Ukraine as part of a pressure campaign to enlist the country to smear his political rivals,” the New York Times's Sheryl Gay Stolberg reports.
“I’ve said from the beginning that anything that makes this process as fair and as transparent as possible is good for me and good for the voters,” Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.), who flipped a GOP seat, told Stolberg.
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Then-national security advisor John Bolton listens to President Donald Trump in the Oval Office in June. (Photo by Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
BOLTON IS ASKED TO TESTIFY: Democratic lawmakers are now reaching into the top ranks of Trump's White House for witnesses in their impeachment inquiry by calling former national security adviser John Bolton, our colleagues Elise Viebeck, Karoun Demirjian and Rachael Bade report.
MORE ON THE IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY: We now know who locked down the July 25 call transcript: White House lawyer John Eisenberg decided shortly after Trump's call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to put the rough transcript on a server “normally reserved for code-word-level intelligence programs and top-secret sources and methods,” our colleagues Carol D. Leonnig, Tom Hamburger and Greg Miller reported last night.
Deputy Secretary of State John Sullivan. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP)
Bill Taylor is reportedly up to return for a public hearing: The top U.S. diplomat in Ukraine offered a detailed deposition behind closed doors, but CNN's Kylie Atwood, Manu Raju and Jeremy Herb report that Taylor would return to testify publicly if he is asked to do so.
Trump's Russia envoy pick distances himself: John Sullivan, the deputy secretary of state, said he didn't think a president demanding investigations into domestic political opponents “would be in accord with our values,” the New York Times's Catie Edmondson reports. Senate Democrats were largely successful in turning Sullivan's confirmation hearing to be the next Russia ambassador into a proxy battle over impeachment.
Vindman gets some big-name backers: Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr., former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, defended the Purple Heart recipient and Iraq War veteran just a day after Vindman testified privately to lawmakers. “He is a professional, competent, patriotic, and loyal officer. He has made an extraordinary contribution to the security of our Nation in both peacetime & combat,” Dunford told CNN's Barbara Starr. The Army also said it “fully supported” him, per Task & Purpose's Jeff Schogol and Haley Britzky.
Jack Dorsey, chief executive officer of Twitter Inc. (Cole Burston/Bloomberg)
TWITTER TO BAN ALL POLITICAL ADS: Twitter "said it would ban all advertisements about political candidates, elections and hot-button policy issues such as abortion and immigration, a significant shift that comes in response to growing concerns that politicians are seizing on the vast reach of social media to deceive voters ahead of the 2020 election," our colleagues Tony Romm and Isaac Stanley-Becker report. The new rules will apply worldwide and be published by mid-November so they could take effect later in the month.
The reaction: "The change drew a mixed reception, with some critics highlighting that it would not affect what users can tweet and share on their own," our colleagues write.
But political ads are just not a key part of Twitter's bottom line: Political ad spending amounted to less than $3 million during the 2018 midterm elections, our colleagues write. "For example, Trump has run not a single ad on Twitter over the past seven days, while he’s spent nearly a quarter of a million dollars on Facebook over the same period, according to the companies’ archives."
Video of the Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi raid is displayed as U.S. Central Command Commander Marine Gen. Kenneth McKenzie speaks. (Andrew Harnik/AP)
GENERAL SAYS ISIS LIKELY TO ADJUST AFTER BAGHDADI’S DEATH: “A high-risk raid last week that resulted in the death of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is expected to temporarily disrupt the group’s activities, but the militants are likely to regroup and may attempt revenge attacks against the United States, a senior U.S. commander said,” our colleague Missy Ryan reports.
Today in declassified dog news: A name, and... a White House visit?
Thank you Daily Wire. Very cute recreation, but the “live” version of Conan will be leaving the Middle East for the White House sometime next week! https://t.co/Z1UfhxsSpT
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 31, 2019
THE FIGHT IS FINISHED: "Yes, they did it again. The unbelievable, late-game-dancing, break-their-foes’-hearts Nationals did it again," our colleague Thomas Boswell writes from Houston of the Nats 6-2 Game 7 win over the once heavily-favored Houston Astros. "What is the word above 'miracle' in sports? Maybe, with the years, an amazing streak, weeks and weeks of defying odds and believing in one another will just come to be known as “doing a Nationals.”
The reaction:
Max Scherzer is in tears. He’s crying. Nobody puts more into this than he does. And nobody deserves this more.
— Chelsea Janes (@chelsea_janes) October 31, 2019
The view from baseball's capital: "When the fight was finished and the Nationals had wrapped up their first World Series title some 1,400 miles away in Houston, the District screamed. And cried. And bellowed into a rainy night," our colleague Rick Maese writes of the scene in Nats Park and around the District.
ALEXA PLAY “WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS” FT. MAD MAX AND CHILDISH BAMBINO#STAYINTHEFIGHT pic.twitter.com/aLaP4vU0sU
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) October 31, 2019
A FALL CLASSIC TO REMEMBER: The Nats and Stephen Strasburg didn't just make history, they defied it at every turn.
And a season for the ages: "And so ended the longest season in Washington baseball history — one that began on a chilly Thursday in late March, cratered in late May, caught fire in the summer months, tested hearts in September and careened through October like a wobble-wheeled wagon set free at the top of a steep hill. This Nationals season was a wild, screaming, impossibly long ride, one that carried them all the way to the doorstep of November," our colleague Dave Sheinin writes.
Anthony Rendon on the field minutes after winning the World Series: “I want bourbon!” pic.twitter.com/wJY5fXgDRw
— Dan Mullen (@DanMullen_ESPN) October 31, 2019