OMINOUS maps show the 22 spots around the US where coronavirus cases could be set to explode as eight states ease lockdown restrictions.
The maps were made by monitoring social media posts in which locals talked about having tested positive, experienced symptoms, or been exposed to the coronavirus.
The study, conducted by data firm Dataminr, identified a rise in posts in 22 metropolitan areas in which significant outbreaks are yet to be seen.
The areas were spread across Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas.
The company says that a March 30 study identified similar spikes in 14 states, and that all 14 saw a rise in cases within a week of publication.
Those findings align with CDC warnings that COVID-19 symptoms are most likely to appear two to 14 days after exposure to the virus.
Nashville, TN - 700,000 - 12 day gap
Atlanta, GA - 1.1million - 7 day gap
Columbus, OH - 1.4 million - 10 day gap
Houston, TX - 4.7 million - 8 day gap
Indianapolis, IN - 965,000 - 13 day gap
Miami, FL - 2.7 million - 10 day gap
Columbia, SC - 415,800 - 13 day gap
Detroit, MI - 1.75 million - 6 day gap
The study comes as a number of states, including some of those highlighted as potential hotspots, began to lift their lockdowns.
Those to have begun easing restrictions are Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas.
Many have relaxed restrictions on movement and allowed some businesses to reopen, though social distancing guidelines remain in force.
In the week since the study concluded, figures independent from the analysis show that infections have already begun to spike in many of the 22 areas.
In Georgia, Gov. Brian Kemp is pushing one of the most aggressive reopening plans in the US. Barbershops, gyms and nail salons were allowed to reopen Friday and dine-in restaurant service and movie screenings were freed to resume Monday - despite warnings that, without sufficient testing, the state could see a surge in infections.
Montana: From May 4
Missouri: May 4
Maine: From May 1
Ohio: From May 1
Iowa: May 1
Alabama: From April 30
Minnesota: From April 27
Mississippi: From April 27
Tennessee: From April 27
Colorado: From April 27
Michigan: From April 24
Alaska: From April 24
Georgia: From April 24
Oklahoma: From April 24
South Carolina: From April 20
Texas: From April 20
Two areas in Georgia were analyzed as hotspots.
In Chatham County, infections increased by 32 in the past week. The week prior saw 25 new infections.
Clarke County saw an increase of 26 infections last week and 14 new cases the week before.
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Chatham County in Georgia currently has 217 infections. The number of cases appeared to increase about a month after social media posts spikedIn South Carolina's Charleston County, infections jumped 35 in the last week and 50 the week prior.
Greenville County in South Carolina recorded 144 new infections last week and 117 cases the week before.
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Greenville County, South Carolina currently has 661 infections. The number of infections appeared to increase about a week after social media posts appeared to spike13
In Horry County, South Carolina infections have now risen to 211. Infections appeared to increase around the same time social media posts started to also rise13
In Charleston County, South Carolina the currently number of infections is at 438. The number of cases appeared to increase about a month after social media spikedIn Lucas County in Ohio, infections spiked by 313 last week compared to the 257 cases the week before.
Ohio has seen 17,303 cases and around a thousand deaths, but is planning to reopen on May 1.
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Lucas County, Ohio currently has 1166 infections. Infections increased by 313 last week and 257 the week prior. The infections appeared to spike about a week after an increase in social media posts13
Montgomery County in Ohio has 266 infections after increasing by 29 cases in a week. Infections increased about three weeks after an increase in social media postsIndiana's St. Joseph County recorded 160 new infections last week and 169 a week earlier.
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In Indiana's Tippecanoe County, there are currently 95 infections. That's an increase of 36 cases in a week. Social media posts spike about a month prior to infections rising13
St. Joseph County in Indiana has 602 infections. Cases increased last week by 160 and 169 in the week prior13
Monroe County, Indiana currently has 122 infections. The number of cases appeared to increase about three weeks after a spike in social media postsExponential growth in social media clusters occurred 12 days prior to exponential growth in COVID-19 case count in Nashville's Hamilton County.
Florida, a place renowned for its elderly population, currently has over 33 thousand cases.
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Bay County, Florida currently has 70 infections. Cases appeared to spike about a month after social media posts increased13
Manatee County, Florida now has 563 infections. Infections increased by 120 in the past week and 166 the week prior. The number of cases appeared to increase about three weeks after a spike in social media posts13
In Escambia County, Florida the current number of cases is 485. Cases appeared to increase about three weeks after the number of social media posts spiked13
Polk County, Florida currently has 457 infections after increasing by 101 in a week. Infections spiked about two weeks after an increase in social media postsWarning
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Public health authorities have warned that increasing human interactions and economic activity may spark a new surge of infections just as social distancing measures appear to be bringing coronavirus outbreaks under control.
Stay-at-home orders issued by governors across the US and subsequent decisions to slowly reopen state economies have turned into highly charged political issues in recent weeks as the shutdowns have hammered the nation's economy.
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