Nate Silver on Twitter: "We've run our presidential forecast 38 times since yesterday morning and at no point have Biden's odds been lower than 88.8 percent or higher than 89.8 percent. Trump can win but polls that people are getting very excited about/ma

Nate Silver : We've run our presidential forecast 38 times since yesterday morning and at no point have Biden's odds been lower t… https://t.co/VAwKrOtWwg

Sun Nov 01 22:33:24 +0000 2020


Nish Krishnamurthy : @NateSilver538 Does this mean you ran 38 simulations, each which tabulated the results from 40,000 simulated elections?

Sun Nov 01 22:42:50 +0000 2020


↙️↙️↙️ Some Dude 🗽 : @NateSilver538 As I am reading this tweet, I am seeing your part of the SNL cold open, haha.

Sun Nov 01 22:42:49 +0000 2020


🦠️🗣ERADICATE COVID19 🗣🦠️ : @NateSilver538 You tried this poll crap at Trumps last election and how did that work out for you ? https://t.co/jBKtZIv11y

Sun Nov 01 22:42:41 +0000 2020


DrGecko : @NateSilver538 38 times? I've refreshed the page only 25 times. Looks like I have some catching up to do.

Sun Nov 01 22:42:40 +0000 2020


K OBrien : @NateSilver538 How many times did trump win the popular vote?

Sun Nov 01 22:42:36 +0000 2020


Brian Collins : @NateSilver538 Does your polling adjust for turnout? How about turnout of a group historically misrepresented?

Sun Nov 01 22:42:16 +0000 2020


ascalon5 : @NateSilver538 Hope is near !😊🙏🏻 https://t.co/GRTNeq0uCP

Sun Nov 01 22:42:03 +0000 2020


Rob Coury : @NateSilver538 It only matters if the votes are there.

Sun Nov 01 22:41:59 +0000 2020


Heidi Deja : @NateSilver538 Wasn’t Clinton favored by 88%?

Sun Nov 01 22:41:54 +0000 2020


Greg Jonsson : @NateSilver538 https://t.co/lKsPmD2PEc

Sun Nov 01 22:41:50 +0000 2020


An actual wad of meat. : @NateSilver538 Is that like the Monte Carlo thing my money dude does to tell me if I can ever retire?

Sun Nov 01 22:41:40 +0000 2020


TJ : @NateSilver538 Do your models consider early vote turnout numbers?

Sun Nov 01 22:41:38 +0000 2020


Nancy Miller : @NateSilver538 VOTE!!!

Sun Nov 01 22:41:36 +0000 2020


Suhas Vaze : @NateSilver538 I tried to start my lawn mower 55 times yesterday, without acknowledging that fuel has anything to d… https://t.co/B52QRbtJYL

Sun Nov 01 22:41:35 +0000 2020


dy/dx : @NateSilver538 Who is your audience? @NateSilver538 probability in this context and simulations especially aren't i… https://t.co/s8pAYZdwv0

Sun Nov 01 22:41:19 +0000 2020


Bec Derrington : @NateSilver538 Please be right!!!

Sun Nov 01 22:41:16 +0000 2020


Wearing a mask while tweeting : @NateSilver538 @NateSilver538 IF you turn out to be wrong... you have to BUY all of us a drink

Sun Nov 01 22:41:14 +0000 2020


Simon Templar : @NateSilver538 too conservative. trump needs to win all of: penn, ariz, fl, nc, ga, tx, oh. his chances are not mor… https://t.co/YbUVYbYhqg

Sun Nov 01 22:41:04 +0000 2020


Mitchell Robinson 🛰️ 🇺🇲🇸🇪 : @NateSilver538 Nate, please describe more about what the 10% involves? Beyond rain in LA, is that like Trump tossin… https://t.co/TZOhp72u3e

Sun Nov 01 22:41:03 +0000 2020


Ahmad Al-Hader : @NateSilver538 That switch from 90 to 89 makes us quite mad 🦉

Sun Nov 01 22:40:54 +0000 2020

https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323030406904631297